How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Saburtalo II, at 42.9%. The other outcomes represent 57.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.6% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 42.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Irao 1492; Saburtalo II 1601. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Irao
Elo 1492
vs
Saburtalo II
Elo 1601
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-109
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Irao1492
Saburtalo II1601
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Irao
0Draws
2Saburtalo II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
26%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
45%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.