How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fakel U19, at 40.5%. The other outcomes represent 59.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.5% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 34.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fakel U19 1384; Chertanovo U20 1449. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Youth Championship · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Fakel U19
Elo 1384
vs
Chertanovo U20
Elo 1449
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-65
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Fakel U191384
Chertanovo U201449
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fakel U19
0Draws
2Chertanovo U20
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
25%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.