How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Spartak Moskva U19, at 51.9%. The other outcomes represent 48.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.9% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 24.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Spartak Moskva U19 1566; Ural U20 1393. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Youth Championship · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Spartak Moskva U19
Elo 1566
vs
Ural U20
Elo 1393
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+172
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Spartak Moskva U191566
Ural U201393
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Spartak Moskva U19
2Draws
0Ural U20
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
35%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.