How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sport Academy Kairat, at 54.7%. The other outcomes represent 45.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.3% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 54.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Taraz 1449; Sport Academy Kairat 1677. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Taraz
Elo 1449
vs
Sport Academy Kairat
Elo 1677
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-227
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Taraz1449
Sport Academy Kairat1677
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Taraz
0Draws
2Sport Academy Kairat
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
18%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
38%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.