How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bashundhara Kings, at 75.7%. The other outcomes represent 24.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.7% · Draw: 16.5% · Away win: 7.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bashundhara Kings 1850; Dhaka Wanderers 1314. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:30
Bashundhara Kings
Elo 1850
vs
Dhaka Wanderers
Elo 1314
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+536
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bashundhara Kings1850
Dhaka Wanderers1314
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Bashundhara Kings
0Draws
0Dhaka Wanderers
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
Home
76%
Draw
16%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Half-Time Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
32%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.