How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FCM Ungheni, at 50.5%. The other outcomes represent 49.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.5% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 28.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FCM Ungheni 1604; Zimbru II 1480. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 1 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
FCM Ungheni
Elo 1604
vs
Zimbru II
Elo 1480
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+124
H2H (7)
7H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FCM Ungheni1604
Zimbru II1480
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
7FCM Ungheni
0Draws
0Zimbru II
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
33%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.