How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ratchaburi, at 70.8%. The other outcomes represent 29.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.8% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 10.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ratchaburi 1888; Sukhothai FC 1684. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Thai League 1 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Ratchaburi
Elo 1888
6
-
0
Sukhothai FC
Elo 1684
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+205
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ratchaburi1888
Sukhothai FC1684
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Ratchaburi
0Draws
0Sukhothai FC
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
CORRECT
Home
71%
Draw
18%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.