How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Araz, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.6% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 20.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Araz 1649; Kapaz 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premyer Liqa · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Araz
Elo 1649
vs
Kapaz
Elo 1521
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+127
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Araz1649
Kapaz1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Araz
0Draws
0Kapaz
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
25%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
39%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.