How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Eastern, at 48.4%. The other outcomes represent 51.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.4% · Draw: 24.4% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Eastern 1668; North District 1691. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Eastern
Elo 1668
vs
North District
Elo 1691
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-23
H2H (7)
6H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Eastern1668
North District1691
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Eastern
0Draws
1North District
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
39%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.