How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barnsley U21, at 53.0%. The other outcomes represent 47.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 25.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barnsley U21 1435; Hull City U21 1412. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Barnsley U21
Elo 1435
vs
Hull City U21
Elo 1412
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+23
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Barnsley U211435
Hull City U211412
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Barnsley U21
0Draws
0Hull City U21
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
35%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.