How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Jerusalem, at 55.4%. The other outcomes represent 44.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.4% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 23%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Jerusalem 1643; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1547. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 09:00
FC Jerusalem
Elo 1643
vs
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Elo 1547
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+95
Elo rating comparison
FC Jerusalem1643
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1547
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Jerusalem
—Draws
—Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
41%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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