How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Homeboyz, at 35.8%. The other outcomes represent 64.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.8% · Draw: 29.6% · Away win: 34.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Homeboyz 1700; Police 1749. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Homeboyz
Elo 1700
vs
Police
Elo 1749
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-49
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Homeboyz1700
Police1749
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Homeboyz
4Draws
0Police
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
30%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
43%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.