How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is KCB, at 39.6%. The other outcomes represent 60.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.6% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 33.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: KCB 1620; APS Bomet 1683. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
KCB
Elo 1620
vs
APS Bomet
Elo 1683
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-64
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
KCB1620
APS Bomet1683
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0KCB
0Draws
4APS Bomet
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
27%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.