How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Murang'a SEAL, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.5% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 29.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Murang'a SEAL 1625; Ulinzi Stars 1613. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Murang'a SEAL
Elo 1625
vs
Ulinzi Stars
Elo 1613
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+12
Elo rating comparison
Murang'a SEAL1625
Ulinzi Stars1613
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Murang'a SEAL
—Draws
—Ulinzi Stars
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
28%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
44%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.