How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CSM FC Vaslui, at 55.6%. The other outcomes represent 44.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.1% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 55.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Bacău II 1349; CSM FC Vaslui 1616. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 1 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
FC Bacău II
Elo 1349
vs
CSM FC Vaslui
Elo 1616
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-267
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FC Bacău II1349
CSM FC Vaslui1616
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Bacău II
0Draws
2CSM FC Vaslui
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
22%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
39%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.