How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Râmnicu Sărat, at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.3% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 36.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Râmnicu Sărat 1309; Plopeni 1414. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Râmnicu Sărat
Elo 1309
vs
Plopeni
Elo 1414
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-106
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Râmnicu Sărat1309
Plopeni1414
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Râmnicu Sărat
0Draws
0Plopeni
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
25%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.