How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Metalurgistul Cugir, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 31.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Metalurgistul Cugir 1519; Cetate Deva 1648. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Metalurgistul Cugir
Elo 1519
vs
Cetate Deva
Elo 1648
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-129
Elo rating comparison
Metalurgistul Cugir1519
Cetate Deva1648
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Metalurgistul Cugir
—Draws
—Cetate Deva
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
38%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.