How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PSIS Semarang, at 40.4%. The other outcomes represent 59.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.4% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 36.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PSIS Semarang 1446; Persiraja Banda Aceh 1541. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
PSIS Semarang
Elo 1446
vs
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Elo 1541
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-96
Elo rating comparison
PSIS Semarang1446
Persiraja Banda Aceh1541
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—PSIS Semarang
—Draws
—Persiraja Banda Aceh
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
24%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
37%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.