How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Sahel, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.6% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 22.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Sahel 1483; Al Taraji 1337. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:10
Al Sahel
Elo 1483
vs
Al Taraji
Elo 1337
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+146
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Sahel1483
Al Taraji1337
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Sahel
0Draws
0Al Taraji
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
38%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.