How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Viettel, at 69.2%. The other outcomes represent 30.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.2% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 12.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Viettel 1772; Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
V.League 1 · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 12:15
Viettel
Elo 1772
1
-
3
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Elo 1578
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+194
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Viettel1772
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Viettel
0Draws
0Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
WRONG
Home
69%
Draw
19%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
41%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.