How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kiryat Yam SC, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1654; Kiryat Yam SC 1722. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Leumit · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:00
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Elo 1654
2
-
2
Kiryat Yam SC
Elo 1722
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-68
Elo rating comparison
Maccabi Kiryat Gat1654
Kiryat Yam SC1722
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Maccabi Kiryat Gat
—Draws
—Kiryat Yam SC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
23%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
36%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.