How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Maccabi Herzliya, at 53.0%. The other outcomes represent 47.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 26.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Maccabi Herzliya 1637; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1597. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Leumit · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:00
Maccabi Herzliya
Elo 1637
1
-
2
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Elo 1597
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+40
Elo rating comparison
Maccabi Herzliya1637
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth1597
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Maccabi Herzliya
—Draws
—Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
20%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
37%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.