How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portugal W, at 74.4%. The other outcomes represent 25.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 14.9% · Draw: 10.7% · Away win: 74.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Northern Ireland W 1469; Portugal W 1655. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Northern Ireland W
Elo 1469
0
-
4
Portugal W
Elo 1655
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-186
Elo rating comparison
Northern Ireland W1469
Portugal W1655
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Northern Ireland W
—Draws
—Portugal W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
CORRECT
Home
15%
Draw
11%
Away
74%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
21%
Away
63%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.