How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Turkey W, at 63.6%. The other outcomes represent 36.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.6% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 13.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Turkey W 1576; Slovenia W 1568. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:00
Turkey W
Elo 1576
3
-
3
Slovenia W
Elo 1568
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+9
Elo rating comparison
Turkey W1576
Slovenia W1568
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Turkey W
—Draws
—Slovenia W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
23%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
39%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.