How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Górnik Polkowice, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 27%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Górnik Polkowice 1585; Stilon Gorzów 1513. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:30
Górnik Polkowice
Elo 1585
4
-
1
Stilon Gorzów
Elo 1513
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+72
Elo rating comparison
Górnik Polkowice1585
Stilon Gorzów1513
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Górnik Polkowice
—Draws
—Stilon Gorzów
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
37%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.