How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Wahda FC, at 59.8%. The other outcomes represent 40.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.8% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 19.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Wahda FC 1791; Al-Dhafra 1501. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Cup · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:10
Al Wahda FC
Elo 1791
2
-
0
Al-Dhafra
Elo 1501
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+289
H2H (8)
4H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Al Wahda FC1791
Al-Dhafra1501
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Wahda FC
0Draws
4Al-Dhafra
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
37%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.