How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Arabi, at 57.1%. The other outcomes represent 42.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.1% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 22.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Arabi 1522; Gulf United 1270. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 1 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:15
Al Arabi
Elo 1522
2
-
1
Gulf United
Elo 1270
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+252
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Arabi1522
Gulf United1270
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Arabi
0Draws
0Gulf United
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
34%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.