How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Uskok Klis, at 51.7%. The other outcomes represent 48.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.3% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 51.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1513; Uskok Klis 1682. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second NL · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:30
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Elo 1513
0
-
4
Uskok Klis
Elo 1682
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-169
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Hrvatski Dragovoljac1513
Uskok Klis1682
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0Draws
2Uskok Klis
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
25%
Away
52%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
42%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.