How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Neftchi, at 74.9%. The other outcomes represent 25.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.9% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 7.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Neftchi 1848; Xorazm 1483. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 14:00
Neftchi
Elo 1848
2
-
2
Xorazm
Elo 1483
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+365
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Neftchi1848
Xorazm1483
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Neftchi
0Draws
0Xorazm
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
WRONG
Home
75%
Draw
17%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
38%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.