How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Puebla U21, at 38.1%. The other outcomes represent 61.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.1% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Puebla U21 1515; Club Leon U21 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX U21 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 15:00
Puebla U21
Elo 1515
1
-
2
Club Leon U21
Elo 1574
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-59
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Puebla U211515
Club Leon U211574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Puebla U21
2Draws
0Club Leon U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
48%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.