How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Singida Black Stars, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 43.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dodoma Jiji 1521; Singida Black Stars 1699. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligi kuu Bara · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:00
Dodoma Jiji
Elo 1521
1
-
1
Singida Black Stars
Elo 1699
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-178
H2H (4)
0H
1D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Dodoma Jiji1521
Singida Black Stars1699
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Dodoma Jiji
1Draws
3Singida Black Stars
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
25%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
46%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.