How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CSM Targu Jiu, at 47.0%. The other outcomes represent 53.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 25.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CSM Targu Jiu 1592; Unirea Bascov 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 6 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:00
CSM Targu Jiu
Elo 1592
1
-
0
Unirea Bascov
Elo 1520
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+72
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
CSM Targu Jiu1592
Unirea Bascov1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2CSM Targu Jiu
0Draws
0Unirea Bascov
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
40%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.