How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AB Copenhagen, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 28.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AB Copenhagen 1936; Aarhus Fremad 1865. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
AB Copenhagen
Elo 1936
2
-
0
Aarhus Fremad
Elo 1865
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+71
Elo rating comparison
AB Copenhagen1936
Aarhus Fremad1865
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AB Copenhagen
—Draws
—Aarhus Fremad
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
33%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.