How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 1880 Wasserburg, at 48.9%. The other outcomes represent 51.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.9% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 27.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 1880 Wasserburg 1522; Pfaffenhofen 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
1880 Wasserburg
Elo 1522
2
-
1
Pfaffenhofen
Elo 1520
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+2
Elo rating comparison
1880 Wasserburg1522
Pfaffenhofen1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—1880 Wasserburg
—Draws
—Pfaffenhofen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
35%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.