How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, at 66.3%. The other outcomes represent 33.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.3% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 12.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1792; Mattersburg SV 2020 1531. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - Ost · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Elo 1792
4
-
0
Mattersburg SV 2020
Elo 1531
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+261
Elo rating comparison
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf1792
Mattersburg SV 20201531
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
—Draws
—Mattersburg SV 2020
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.