How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rayon Sports, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.7% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 48%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gorilla 1499; Rayon Sports 1717. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Soccer League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
Gorilla
Elo 1499
1
-
0
Rayon Sports
Elo 1717
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-218
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gorilla1499
Rayon Sports1717
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gorilla
3Draws
0Rayon Sports
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
27%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
40%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.