How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Finnsnes, at 61.3%. The other outcomes represent 38.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.3% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 18.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Finnsnes 1422; Ulfstind 1293. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 5 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:15
Finnsnes
Elo 1422
2
-
2
Ulfstind
Elo 1293
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+129
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Finnsnes1422
Ulfstind1293
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Finnsnes
0Draws
0Ulfstind
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
33%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.