How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Kriens, at 64.6%. The other outcomes represent 35.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.6% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 18.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Kriens 1766; FC WIL 1900 1673. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenge League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:30
SC Kriens
Elo 1766
1
-
1
FC WIL 1900
Elo 1673
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+93
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
SC Kriens1766
FC WIL 19001673
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4SC Kriens
0Draws
0FC WIL 1900
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
65%
Draw
17%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
34%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.