How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ETSV Hamburg, at 55.1%. The other outcomes represent 44.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.1% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 25.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ETSV Hamburg 1769; Niendorfer TSV 1643. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–6. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Hamburg · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:30
ETSV Hamburg
Elo 1769
4
-
6
Niendorfer TSV
Elo 1643
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+127
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
ETSV Hamburg1769
Niendorfer TSV1643
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2ETSV Hamburg
0Draws
0Niendorfer TSV
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
20%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
33%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.