How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heeslinger SC, at 75.6%. The other outcomes represent 24.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.6% · Draw: 15.7% · Away win: 8.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Heeslinger SC 1656; Drochtersen/Assel II 1432. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Niedersachsen · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:30
Heeslinger SC
Elo 1656
4
-
1
Drochtersen/Assel II
Elo 1432
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+224
Elo rating comparison
Heeslinger SC1656
Drochtersen/Assel II1432
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Heeslinger SC
—Draws
—Drochtersen/Assel II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
16%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
29%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.