Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Büderich

Oberliga - Niederrhein · Friday, 09 Oct 2026 · 17:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fortuna Düsseldorf II, at 76.2%. The other outcomes represent 23.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 76.2% · Draw: 14.7% · Away win: 9.1%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1727; Büderich 1477. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Oberliga - Niederrhein · Friday, Oct 9 2026 · 17:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Elo 1727
2 - 2
Büderich
Elo 1477
FT HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+250

Elo rating comparison

Fortuna Düsseldorf II1727
Büderich1477

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Fortuna Düsseldorf II
—Draws
—Büderich

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
76% conf. WRONG
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf. CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf. CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
74% conf. WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
55% conf. CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
34%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf. WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf. WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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