How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Geestemünde, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.7% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oberneuland 1378; Geestemünde 1421. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bremen · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:30
Oberneuland
Elo 1378
1
-
5
Geestemünde
Elo 1421
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-43
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Oberneuland1378
Geestemünde1421
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Oberneuland
0Draws
2Geestemünde
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
35%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.