How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Shorta, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.4% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Talaba 1635; Al Shorta 1762. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Iraqi League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 17:30
Al Talaba
Elo 1635
0
-
0
Al Shorta
Elo 1762
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-128
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Talaba1635
Al Shorta1762
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al Talaba
2Draws
0Al Shorta
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
27%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
39%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.