How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Volendam, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.2% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Volendam 1654; Vitesse 1579. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eerste Divisie · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
FC Volendam
Elo 1654
2
-
0
Vitesse
Elo 1579
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+76
Elo rating comparison
FC Volendam1654
Vitesse1579
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Volendam
—Draws
—Vitesse
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
38%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.