How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dender, at 68.8%. The other outcomes represent 31.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.8% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 13.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dender 1750; Club Brugge II 1625. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenger Pro League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Dender
Elo 1750
3
-
0
Club Brugge II
Elo 1625
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+125
Elo rating comparison
Dender1750
Club Brugge II1625
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Dender
—Draws
—Club Brugge II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.