How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brighton U21, at 46.4%. The other outcomes represent 53.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.4% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 31.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brighton U21 1640; Sheffield United U21 1614. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Brighton U21
Elo 1640
2
-
1
Sheffield United U21
Elo 1614
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+25
Elo rating comparison
Brighton U211640
Sheffield United U211614
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Brighton U21
—Draws
—Sheffield United U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.