How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Burnley U21, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 17.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Burnley U21 1466; Preston North End U21 1421. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Burnley U21
Elo 1466
2
-
2
Preston North End U21
Elo 1421
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+46
Elo rating comparison
Burnley U211466
Preston North End U211421
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Burnley U21
—Draws
—Preston North End U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
35%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.