How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cardiff City U21, at 56.3%. The other outcomes represent 43.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.3% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 23.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cardiff City U21 1572; Leicester City U21 1494. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Cardiff City U21
Elo 1572
1
-
3
Leicester City U21
Elo 1494
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+77
Elo rating comparison
Cardiff City U211572
Leicester City U211494
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cardiff City U21
—Draws
—Leicester City U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.