How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Peterborough United U21, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.6% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 35%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Peterborough United U21 1482; Nottingham Forest U21 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Peterborough United U21
Elo 1482
1
-
5
Nottingham Forest U21
Elo 1584
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-102
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Peterborough United U211482
Nottingham Forest U211584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Peterborough United U21
0Draws
3Nottingham Forest U21
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
21%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
36%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.