How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cork City, at 69.8%. The other outcomes represent 30.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.8% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 12.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cork City 1617; Finn Harps 1240. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Division · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:45
Cork City
Elo 1617
2
-
0
Finn Harps
Elo 1240
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+377
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Cork City1617
Finn Harps1240
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Cork City
0Draws
0Finn Harps
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
29%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.